gr ound behind sudden changes in financial position. If
left to an inexperienced or uninformed lender, the
cooperative may not r eceive its anticipated loan.
There are several key cash-r elated early warning
signs of financial dif ficulties. In addition to looking at
ratios, lenders often look at changes in various
accounts over time. They want to see if ther e ar e any
major changes or slow er osions taking place. In other
w o r ds, is the liquidity of the cooperative going to be a
problem befor e the loan is r epaid? Bankers look for
early warning signs, including: continued r eliance on a
line of cr edit, over drafts, incr eases in inventory and/or
receivables, patr onage r efunds and other payments to
members greater than earnings, and a history of poor
cash flow fr om operations. Most of these changes ar e
evident or can be determined fr om the SCF.
The SCF sheds light on the ef fects earning activi -
ties have on cash r esour ces and financing of the coop -
erative. It helps clarify the distinction between “r eport -
ed net income” and “cash pr ovided by operations”
—two differ ent concepts. Net income can be mislead -
ing because it is influenced by several estimated val -
ues (i.e., depr eciation schedules, bad debt expense,
and inventory valuation). Cash flow is “r eal cash”
flowing in and out due to operations, investing, and
financing activities. Consequently, cash flow should
never be confused with net income.
The ability of an enterprise to consistently gener -
ate cash fr om operations is an important indicator of
financial health. No cooperative can survive the long
term without generating cash fr om operations. While a
cooperative can inflate cash flows thr ough both financ -
ing and investment, operations must keep the coopera -
tive financially viable in the long r un. The interpr eta -
tion of cash flow fr om operations and r elated tr ends
must be made with care and a full understanding of all
circumstances.
Prosperous as well as failing entities may find
themselves unable to generate cash fr om operations at
any given time, but for dif fer ent r easons. The entity
caught in the pr osperity squeeze of having to invest its
cash in r eceivables and inventories to meet ever -
incr easing customer demand will often find that its
pr ofitability will facilitate financing by equity and
debt. That same pr ofitability should, ultimately, turn
cash flow fr om operations into a positive figur e.
The unsuccessful entity might find its cash
drained by slowdowns in receivables and inventory
turnovers, by operating losses, or by a combination of
these factors. These conditions usually contain the
seeds of further losses and cash drains that may even -
tually lead to the drying up of trade cr edit. In such
cases, a lack of cash flow fr om operations has a dif fer-
ent implication.
The next SCF category is cash flows fr om invest -
ing activities. Most businesses must r einvest cash in
or der to r emain viable. The lar gest cash flows fr o m
investments, by far, ar e those in pr operty, plant, and
equipment (PP&E). For the past 5 years, PP&E pur -
chases r epr esented 92 per cent of total cash outlays for
investments of the lar gest 100 agricultural coopera -
tives. Cash flow fr om investing activities generally is
negative, but not always. If a cooperative sells capital
assets or r eceives significant patr onage r efunds, the
value could be positive. However, a cooperative that
resorts to selling capital assets or pr oductive capacity
to generate a positive cash flow cannot do so indefi -
nitely.
Cash flow fr om financing activities varies
tremendously from year to year. Most inflows and out -
flows ar e either fr o m p r oceeds or fr om r epayment of
long-term debt. Between 60 and 70 per cent of both
cash inflows and outflows fr om the 100 lar gest agricul -
tural cooperatives since 1987 wer e fr om these two cate -
gories. However, if the tr end for the cooperative is a
continuous inflow of cash fr om financing and the
cooperative is not expanding, then a closer look is war -
ranted. For example, if the cooperative is using exter -
nal funds to pur chase capital assets, it is investing in
the futur e. On the other hand, if it is using external
funds to finance operations, the cooperative could be
heading toward a liquidity crisis.
After looking at all those sour ces of cash—opera -
tions, investment, and financing—a cr editor can get an
idea of wher e the cooperative is heading financially.
T able 7 illustrates some general guidelines on wher e to
focus the analysis. An analyst should look at the tr ends
and the magnitude of change over the years and not
just a single year of information.
Above all, the SCF must be appr oached with car e.
The analyst must understand the concept of cash fl o w
and other non-cash expenses in r elation to net income.
If not, the analyst may be trapped by the numer ous
cliches and useless generalizations, which ar e all too
often employed even by those who should know better.
Ratio Analysis
Ratios ar e the most widely used tools for finan -
cial analysis. Yet, their function is often misunder -
stood, and, consequently, their significance may easily
be overrated.
A ratio expr esses the mathematical r elationship
between two quantities. The ratio of 200 to 100 is
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