24 #239751 ©2013 IDC
The economic impact of malware associated with counterfeit software on
consumers and enterprises is covered in depth in this White Paper. But
that impact extends to nations as well. Consider the following:
Governments are enterprises and subject to the same economic
impacts as other enterprises. That means at least $10 billion
lost worldwide this year to malware associated with counterfeit
software.
The $400+ billion spent on remedial IT work and losses from
data breaches is money that could be better spent on more
productive activities. If even 1% of that lost money could be
spent on IT innovation, based on standard economic ratios, that
innovation could lead to $100 billion in new business revenue.
Given the global and complex nature of industrial supply chains,
malware that originates with counterfeit software in one country
can easily endanger computers in another. Dealing with this
soaks up resources better used to support the local economy.
Malware, whether imported or from domestic sources, leads to a
less secure national infrastructure and enhanced vulnerability to
cyberattacks.
Implications for Nations
title
RE GI O NAL V AR I ATI O NS
We have called out five regions in our economic data and some of the survey data to
show the variations in user and enterprise behavior and in financial risks. But the
variations extend beyond those charted. Here are some of them:
North America. Despite having the lowest piracy rate of the regions, North
America nonetheless has the second highest risk posture because the market is so
big: nearly 370 million PCs in place by the end of the year and 45% of the PC
software market. Even with a low piracy rate, it accounts for 10–15% of pirated
units. Other reasons for its high risk
profile are its IT security salaries and
its cost per record for data lost,
which are higher than those in other
regions.
Latin America. Although the
region's piracy rate dropped from
66% in 2006 to 61% in 2011,
according to the latest published
BSA | The Software Alliance study,
because of the rapid growth of the
region's PC base — by a factor of
2.8 from 2006 to 2013 — and
growing user sophistication that
leads to more highly configured PCs,
the total amount of pirated software
has grown by a factor greater than
3.5 from 2006 to 2013. Pirated
software is still widely available in
street markets — we found it in
Peru, Mexico, and Brazil — and
selling pirated software is an
organized business. Although major urban centers — near universities, Internet
cafes, subways — are major sources of pirated software on CD/DVD, it is
possible to obtain it in second- and third-tier cities — often copies burned from
CDs/DVDs picked up in bigger cities. Prices range from $1.50 in Lima, Peru, to
$10 in Sao Paolo, Brazil.
Western Europe. Counterfeit software is almost entirely either found on the
Internet or copied from one user to another. Even in 2006 we were unable to find
software for sale in any kind of street market. It is possible, however, to find it on
PCs and software moving through the channel: 14% of consumers we surveyed
in Western Europe said they found some pirated software installed on new
computers they bought. The same percentage of CIOs/IT managers we surveyed
said the Microsoft Office that came preinstalled with new PCs was improperly
licensed. But they also said nearly 10% of the PCs they installed in the past two
years were self-built or self-assembled and that 34% of the PCs they purchased
came with no operating system. As for the region's risk profile, the PC installed
base in Western Europe is 10% smaller than that of North America, and IT staff