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Global Market Report
LIVELIHOODS
Nine million out of the 13 million people
employed in the global tea sector are
smallholder farmers in developing countries;
they produce 60% of the world’s tea in 2022.
to 2026 (Caro, 2020; Mordor Intelligence,
2023b) to meet demand, as consumption
has risen by 2.5% per capita over the past
decade, primarily in East Asia, Africa, Latin
America and the Caribbean, and the Near
East, osetting declining consumption
in Europe, the United States, Canada,
and the Russian Federation (Caro, 2020;
FAO, 2022a). The COVID-19 pandemic
increased global demand, as tea is viewed
as a beverage with immune system-boosting
benefits (Fortune Business Insights, 2022).
Demand is projected to remain robust due
to rising incomes in developing countries
and market diversification into organic and
specialty teas, thereby contributing to rural
incomes and food security in tea-producing
countries (FAO, 2022a). However,
production of plain-quality tea is growing
at a higher rate than its demand, with a
surplus of product and subsequent low
prices for bulk commodity tea. Specialty
tea production provides higher returns to
farmers; volumes produced outside China
and Japan remain small but are increasing
as farmers elsewhere become aware of
this opportunity.
The FAO estimates that 9 million of the 13
million people employed in the global tea
sector are smallholder farmers in developing
countries who produced 60% of the world’s
tea in 2022 (Bolton, 2022). Smallholders
produce 80% of tea grown in China and
Vietnam, and more than 50% of that grown
in India, Indonesia, Kenya, and Sri Lanka—
and the proportion of smallholder-grown
tea is rising globally (Bolton, 2022). Some
80 million Chinese citizens are employed
in the tea sector, including 15 million
smallholders (Ethical Tea Partnership,
2019). India’s tea sector provides livelihoods
for 1.2 million smallholders, of whom up
to 50% are women (Caro, 2020; Nagaraj,
2020). The Kenyan tea sector represents
26% of the country’s annual export
earnings and provides direct and indirect
employment for 2 million people, including
650,000 smallholders (Kenya Presidency
News, 2022). Sri Lankan tea accounts for
12% of annual export earnings and employs
450,000 smallholders (Madsen, 2021).
While traditional manual tea harvesting
remains the norm in many tea-growing
countries, mechanization threatens
employment, as it can reduce production
costs by about 40% (FAO, 2022a). For
example, thousands of tea pickers recently
lost their jobs to tea-harvesting machines in
Kenya’s Rift Valley tea belt (Wanjala, 2021).
According to the FAO, tea production grew
from around 4.3 million tonnes (Mt) in
2008 to 6.3 Mt in 2020 from cultivating 5
million hectares (FAO, 2022a; FAOSTAT,
2021). Tea production has remained
more or less steady over the last decade:
its CAGR of 3.32% from 2008 to 2020
dropped slightly to 2.31% from 2014 to
2020. A large portion of tea produced is
exported, providing an important source
of foreign exchange revenue for exporting
countries (Foreign Agricultural Service,
2021). Since 2016, Kenya, China, and India
have consistently been the largest producing
countries and exporters, exporting
approximately 557 Mt, 369 Mt, and 282 Mt,
respectively, in 2021, while the European
Union, the United States, and Japan have
consistently been the biggest importers,
importing around 225 Mt, 115 Mt, and 108
Mt in 2021, respectively (United Nations,
2022). Over the past two decades, global