warming effects can hence be converted into those of CO
2
. First, the emissions calculator
calculates the fuel consumption per passenger and based on this result, determines the amount
of CO
2
that has a comparable effect to that of all other pollutants emitted by the flight added
together (effective CO
2
emissions). This is the calculator’s final CO
2
output, which Atmosfair will
then offset through climate protection projects.
The degree of climate impact for emissions and their effects depends on the altitude and the
state of the atmosphere at the time of the flight and when the aircraft emits the pollutants. The
emissions calculator only processes the non-carbon emissions when the flight profile exceeds
9000-meter altitude. For a short-haul flight of 400 km, the amount of time spent at over 9000 m
usually equals 0% of the flight profile (depending on the aircraft type) and then gradually rises to
over 90% (for distances of 10,000 km and beyond). In order to properly include the effect of those
emissions in the calculations, the CO
2
-emissions produced at over 9000 m are multiplied by two
and then added to the actual carbon emissions (“factor 3”).
The effects those pollutants have on the climate have been described in detail by the IPCC,
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 1999, 2013), and by subsequent studies
directly based on the IPCC’s findings (Grassl, Brockhagen 2007). This document will only address
the major pollutants and their effects. See the above Atmosfair website for further discussion.
4. Articles referencing the contribution of ‘non-CO
2
’ air transport emissions to global warming.
4.1. Gössling, S. & Humpe, A. (2020). The global scale, distribution and growth of aviation:
Implications for climate change. Global Environmental Change 65, 102194.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378020307779
An important omission of Kyoto Protocol and Paris Agreement is their focus on CO
2
and other
long-lived greenhouse gases, ignoring aviation’s contribution to radiative forcing from short-lived
emissions such as nitrous oxides (NOx), or in the form of contrails or clouds (H
2
0) (Lee et al.,
2020). These non-CO
2
emissions are not directly comparable with long-lived GHG, but they do
contribute to global warming (Lee and Sausen, 2000).
Non-CO
2
warming is expected to remain relevant in the short and medium-term future (Bock and
Burkhardt, 2019). To account for non-CO
2
warming, countries such as Austria or Germany consider
a warming effect of non-CO
2
that is comparable to CO
2
in national assessments of aviation
impacts (Environment Agency Austria, 2018; German Environment Agency, 2018). In 2018, aviation
has been estimated to account for 2.4% of anthropogenic emissions of CO
2
including land use
changes (Lee et al. 2020). There is an additional warming effect related to contrail cirrus and
NOx, which is larger than the warming from CO
2
, if calculated as net effective radiative forcing.
Lee et al. (2020:2) conclude that “aviation emissions are currently warming the climate at
approximately three times the rate of that associated with aviation CO
2
emissions alone”.
4.2. Le Page, M. (2019, June 27). It turns out planes are even worse for the climate than
we thought. New Scientist.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2207886-it-turns-out-planes-are-even-worse-
for-theclimate-than-w e-thought/
Burkhardt and her colleagues used a computer model of the atmosphere to estimate how
much warming contrails caused in 2006 – the latest year for which a detailed air traffic inventory
is available – and how much they will cause by 2050, when air traffic is expected to be four times
higher. The model accounts for not only of the change in air traffic volume, but also the location
and altitude of flights, along with the changing climate. The team concludes that the warming